Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.450158 0.498301 0.550088 0.610047 0.677689 0.751789 0.839313
2025-06-01 0.377333 0.444686 0.522572 0.619773 0.738485 0.879585 1.061229
2025-06-08 0.329706 0.404724 0.495690 0.615044 0.768885 0.962355 1.227009
2025-06-15 0.299411 0.379842 0.481207 0.619804 0.806660 1.053123 1.408305
2025-06-22 0.270361 0.352426 0.459209 0.610341 0.821991 1.112782 1.551217
2025-06-29 0.247873 0.330916 0.442063 0.604286 0.839367 1.174543 1.701325
2025-07-06 0.222687 0.303274 0.413715 0.579147 0.825959 1.189237 1.781138
2025-07-13 0.211134 0.293427 0.408964 0.586715 0.860024 1.275903 1.979778
2025-07-20 0.200701 0.284184 0.404037 0.593069 0.892060 1.361544 2.185536
2025-07-27 0.191345 0.275686 0.399320 0.598928 0.923213 1.447916 2.401608
2025-08-03 0.182207 0.266771 0.393151 0.601689 0.949104 1.527406 2.614212
2025-08-10 0.174774 0.259867 0.389429 0.607783 0.980577 1.618656 2.858151
2025-08-17 0.163274 0.246081 0.374246 0.594325 0.978357 1.652297 3.001216
2025-08-24 0.157487 0.240935 0.372460 0.603058 1.015398 1.759672 3.300883
2025-08-31 0.149526 0.231752 0.363420 0.598521 1.028071 1.823031 3.520098
2025-09-07 0.144008 0.226172 0.359880 0.603131 1.057543 1.920577 3.822534
2025-09-14 0.136406 0.216670 0.349108 0.593961 1.060242 1.966035 4.018800
2025-09-21 0.129978 0.208766 0.340547 0.588093 1.068579 2.023226 4.248351
2025-09-28 0.120922 0.195903 0.322654 0.563729 1.038713 1.999348 4.288959
2025-10-05 0.117658 0.192835 0.321741 0.571064 1.072369 2.111088 4.663796
2025-10-12 0.114409 0.189600 0.320302 0.577222 1.104055 2.221728 5.052328
2025-10-19 0.111281 0.186397 0.318707 0.582901 1.135138 2.334141 5.462392
2025-10-26 0.107906 0.182568 0.315722 0.585577 1.160005 2.435059 5.858301